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Key takeaways from the earnings call include:
During the earnings call, Everbridge CEO, David Wagner, provided updates on customer migration to the company’s CEM platform. He noted that migrations from the RC9 platform are accelerating, with the highest rate expected in Q4 2023. The company also reported progress in converting mass notification customers from the Global 2000 to CEM, with a healthy mix of new customer wins and upgrades.
Patrick Brickley, CFO of Everbridge, acknowledged pressure on adjusted EBITDA due to the removal of non-subscription revenue, particularly from perpetual licenses. However, he noted that the company is focusing on efficiency and productivity to counterbalance this impact.
Looking ahead, Everbridge aims to grow EBITDA by 25% YoY in 2024 and expects improvements in sales productivity, pipeline build, and deal sizes to drive future ARR growth rates. The company also plans to address its debt obligations and generate more cash flow for debt repayment.
Everbridge added 32 sequential customer experience management (CEM) customers during the quarter. The company is focusing on reducing stock-based compensation and aims to reach a 3-4% net in gross equity burn for the next three years.
Despite the downward revision in Q4 2023 revenue guidance, Everbridge remains confident in its growth prospects and its ability to help customers achieve resilience in the face of various critical events, such as heat waves, wildfires, hurricanes, and geopolitical unrest. Everbridge will be participating in several conferences in the coming weeks to further discuss its progress and future plans.
Based on the latest data from InvestingPro, Everbridge (EVBG) is currently trading near its 52-week low with a market cap of $822.55 million. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, the company is expected to turn a profit this year, according to analysts. This aligns with Everbridge’s own plans for increasing profitability, as stated in their recent earnings call.
InvestingPro data also shows that Everbridge’s revenue growth has been slowing down recently, which is reflected in their revised revenue guidance for Q4 2023. However, the company’s gross profit margin remains strong at 70.11%, indicating efficient operations.
InvestingPro Tips suggest that investors should consider the company’s consistent increase in earnings per share and the expected growth in net income this year. However, it’s worth noting that 5 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period. This could be a sign of potential headwinds for the company.
For more detailed insights and tips, consider the InvestingPro platform, which offers a wealth of additional data and advice for informed investment decisions.
Operator: Good afternoon. Welcome to Everbridge Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Jason and I’ll be your operator today. Following management’s remarks, we will open the call for your questions. I would like to remind everyone that this call will be recorded and made available for replay a link in the investor relations section of the company’s website. Now I would like to turn the call over to Vice President of Investor Relations, Nandan Amladi. Sir, please proceed.
Nandan Amladi: Thank you, Jason and good afternoon everyone. Welcome to Everbridge’s earnings call for the third quarter of 2023. With me on today’s call are Everbridge’s President and CEO, David Wagner; and Executive Vice President and CFO, Patrick Brickley. After the market closed, we issued our earnings release and supplementary materials, which can be accessed on the IR page at ir.everbridge.com. This call is being recorded, and a replay of the teleconference will be available on our Investor Relations website at the conclusion of today’s event. During today’s call, we will make forward-looking statements regarding future events or the financial performance of the company that involve certain risks and uncertainties. The company’s actual results may differ materially from the projections described in such statements. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in our Forms 10-Q and 10-K as well as other subsequent filings with the SEC. Information provided on this call reflects our perspective only as of today and should not be considered representative of our views as of any subsequent date. We explicitly disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or our outlook. Also, during today’s call, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of our GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures to the extent reasonably available is included in our earnings press release, which you can find on our Investor Relations website. Our earnings press release includes highlights from our third quarter of 2023 in addition to our financial results and outlook. After we review our business and financial highlights, we will open the call for questions. With that, let me turn the call over to Dave. Dave?
David Wagner: Thanks, Nandan, and good afternoon, everyone. We delivered solid Q3 results, including revenue of $114.2 million, an increase of 3% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA of $23.7 million, an increase of approximately $9 million dollars, and 56% from a year ago and annual recurring revenue of $399 million, up $4 million dollars quarter-over-quarter and 8% year-over-year. These results align with our strategy of enhancing shareholder value by prioritizing increasing ARR, the more valuable recurring part of our business and growing efficiently and profitably to achieve our goal of reaching the ‘Rule of 40’ by 2027 and enhancing our go-to-market approach, evidenced by the Q3 improvements. In this context, our subscription revenues of $104.3 million grew 8% in the third quarter. However, revenues from professional services, perpetual software licenses and one-time services were down $4.7 million or 32%, bringing total revenue growth to 3%. The decline in one-time revenues is due to prioritizing recurring revenues and changes in the macro environment affecting large deal opportunities. Efficiency-wise, we improved adjusted EBITDA by 56% year-over-year or $8.5 million, while also absorbing a $4.7 million decrease in professional services and one-time revenues. Our efforts to enhance efficiency are allowing us to reduce costs while continuing to enhance our product portfolio. Improvements we are seeing in our third quarter results that we believe demonstrate the progress we are making to increase our ARR growth rate in 2024 are as follows: 1. Q3 was our highest bookings quarter of the year both for recurring and one-time bookings. 2. Our sales productivity improved 11% quarter-over-quarter and 16% year-over-year. 3. Our average transaction size increased again quarter-over-quarter to the highest level of the year. 4. Our total number of transactions remains consistent with last year. 5. Our total pipeline is continuing to build. During Q3 we supported our customers through a range of critical events including heat waves, wildfires, hurricanes, and geopolitical unrest. We supported states and countries around the world with life-saving alerts in the face of unprecedented heat waves and wildfires this summer. We delivered millions of messages to Floridians leading up to, during, and after Hurricane Idalia to support their life safety and recovery goals. And more recently, as a result of the conflict in the Middle East, and the resulting geopolitical unrest, we’re assisting multinational businesses with critical situational awareness and risk intelligence to keep their employees and travelers safe and to keep their businesses running efficiently. The value of the Everbridge platform has never been more apparent. We also just published our inaugural Sustainability Report that is posted on our IR page. I am delighted with the progress Everbridge is making in this area, showing our commitment to developing new policies and processes to align our strategy and operations with key sustainability principles. Again, I am pleased with our continued progress, especially the improved bookings traction we demonstrated in the third quarter. Now, I’ll turn the call over to our CFO, Patrick Brickley, to provide further details on our financial results and outlook. Patrick?
Patrick Brickley: Thanks, Dave. During the quarter we saw a healthy year-over-year increase in our profitability metrics. This increase reflects the substantial, ongoing improvements that we are making to operational efficiency across all areas of our business, work that we intend to continue as we drive towards profitable growth and ‘Rule of 40’ by 2027. I will now discuss our results for the quarter in more detail. For the third quarter ARR increased to $399 million, up 8% year-over-year. Revenue was $114.2 million, up 3% from a year ago. Subscription revenue was $104.3 million, up 8% from a year ago, while non-subscription revenue of $9.8 million was down 32% from a year ago. Our gross revenue retention rate was consistent year-over-year; however, it dipped slightly relative to the first half of 2023, primarily due to a bit more renewal contraction than we’ve seen in recent quarters. We signed 44 deals over $100 thousand, down from 75 a year ago. That said, as Dave mentioned, in Q3 our average deal size rebounded relative to what we saw in the first half of 2023. GAAP gross margin was $81 million, or 71% margin, compared to the year ago period’s result of $76 million, or 68% margin. Adjusted gross margin was 74%, compared to 73% a year ago. GAAP net income was nearly $2 million, or negative $0.23 of diluted earnings per share, compared to the year ago period in which we generated a net loss of $22 million, or negative $0.56 of earnings per share. GAAP net income in the third quarter benefitted from a nearly $13 million gain from retiring debt early and at a discount. This gain was partially offset by an $8 million charge related to our legal dispute with certain former shareholders of Anvil. Non-GAAP net income was $20 million or $0.46 of diluted earnings per share, compared to the year ago period’s net income of $12 million or $0.27 of diluted earnings per share. Our adjusted EBITDA of $23.7 million represents a 21% margin, compared to the year ago period’s result of $15.2 million or 14% margin. Cash flow from operations was an inflow of $17 million compared to the year ago period of $18 million and adjusted free cash flow was an inflow of $15.5 million compared to the year ago period of $15.4 million. Our liquidity remains in a healthy position. We ended Q3 with $100.5 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, down from $201.6 million dollars at the end of 2022. In the third quarter we used roughly $130 million of cash to repurchase $145 million of outstanding convertible debt. In doing so, we locked-in a desirable yield-to-maturity and we reduced our net debt to $263 million, down 22% from a year ago. Our debt repurchase reflects our confidence in our increasing ability to drive positive cash flow. For example, year-to-date, adjusted free cash flow has increased nearly 300% year-over-year, and we will continue to see further year-over-year improvements in our cash flow in the quarters ahead. We will have more than enough cash to retire the $63 million of debt that will mature in December 2024, to address any potential outflows related to the Anvil legal dispute, and to continue to fund investments in growth. Moving to guidance, we are revising our guidance for the remainder of 2023. A reconciliation of our updated guidance to the guidance which we gave last quarter is provided on Slides 26 and 27 of the quarterly Investor Relations presentation which you can find on our Investor Relations website. For the fourth quarter, we anticipate results which reflect the same pattern that we experienced in Q3; continued year-over-year growth in subscription revenue; continued decrease in non-subscription revenues; and continued improvement in profitability. As I describe our revenue outlook for the fourth quarter, I will talk separately about subscription and non-subscription revenue. We anticipate subscription revenue of between $104.6 million and $105.0 million, up 3% year-over-year. The year ago period included roughly $3 million of subscription revenue from entities that we have since divested, and subscription amounts that were recognized on an annual basis during the year ago period, but will not have the same timing this year. This bridge is illustrated on Slide 27 of our quarterly Investor Relations presentation. This outlook for Q4 subscription revenue reflects sequential growth of between $0.3 million and $0.7 million. Our subscription revenue in the third quarter included roughly $1 million of subscription revenue that is recognized on an annual basis, and no such subscription revenue is included in our outlook for the fourth quarter. This bridge is also illustrated on Slide 27 of our quarterly Investor Relations presentation. We anticipate non-subscription revenue of between $9.4 million and $10.5 million, down from nearly $16 million in the year ago period. This Q4 decrease of non-subscription revenue is larger than what was reflected in the outlook that we provided in August. In particular, owing to macroeconomic factors, there are a few on-premise sales opportunities which we now expect to deliver in 2024 rather than our recent projection of fourth quarter 2023. Therefore, in summary, we anticipate total revenue for the fourth quarter to range between $114 million and $115.5 million, which reflects a year-over-year decrease of between 3% and 1%. We anticipate a GAAP net loss of between $6.3 million and $5.1 million, and non-GAAP net income of between $21.5 million and $23 million or diluted earnings per share of $0.48 to $0.52. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be between $25.6 million and $27.1 million, a margin of 23%. We remain well on track with our plan to generate continuous year-over-year improvement in quarterly adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin, despite the pressure that’s created by our revised outlook for non-subscription revenue. Moving to full year guidance, for 2023 we now anticipate total revenue in the range of $447 million to $448.5 million, representing year-over-year growth of 4%. Within that, we anticipate subscription revenue of between $409.5 million to $409.9 million, representing year-over-year growth of 7%. And, we anticipate non-subscription revenue of between $37.5 million and $38.6 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 18% to 21%. We expect a GAAP net loss of between $34.3 million and $33.1 million and non-GAAP net income of between $66 million and $67.5 million or between $1.48 and $1.52 of diluted earnings per share. We expect to deliver adjusted EBITDA in the range of $83.5 million to $85 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19% at the midpoint. In summary, we continue to make progress towards our goal of increasing ARR more profitably. Taking an early look ahead to 2024, we are committed to expanding our profitability and although too soon for forecasting GAAP profitability, we expect to grow our full year adjusted EBITDA by roughly 25%. We remain confident that we can deliver the targets laid out at our December 2022 Investor Day, making disciplined ‘growth-first’ investments that will drive steady progress towards the ‘Rule of 40’ by 2027. I will now turn the call back over to Dave.
David Wagner: Thanks, Patrick. In Q3, we delivered our best bookings performance of the year. While still down compared to last year, the recent recovery underscores the ongoing improvements we’ve made to our sales productivity. Furthermore, our pipeline and especially our large deal pipeline has continued to expand as the year has progressed. Notably in Q3, we successfully closed four deals over $500,000, which was three more than last quarter, and we closed one deal over $1 million, also marking a sequential improvement. Our largest new client in the quarter was a Smart Security deal for a shipping port in the Middle East. Among the remaining top five deals, three were new CEM customers including a Federal Government department, an Australian Bank, and a large international charitable organization. The fifth significant new client was an enterprise mass notification win. Regarding growth deals, our two largest deals were Government add-ons, one a state-level emergency notification win and the other in the U.S. Federal space. We also had a large Smart Security cross-sell into a CEM account. Two CEM extensions round out the top-five add-on deals. In total, we added 32 new CEM customers in Q3, bringing our total CEM customer count to 405. While average deal sizes are smaller this year, we are maintaining a healthy mix of new and growth CEM customer wins. In terms of retention, gross retention was slightly lower than the past few quarters but was consistent with the same period last year. The slight, sequential increase in churn was due primarily to increased renewal contraction, as Patrick noted. We’re pleased with the progress we’ve made executing our go-to-market strategy. The underlying metrics affirm our growth path. Our sales representative productivity is rising, and our forward pipeline indicators show traction. We’re successfully adding a balanced mix of new and growth CEM customers and we’re reinforcing our strong market position. Customer feedback assures us that we are on the right track. Our high customer satisfaction, solid renewal rates, and positive response to our product enhancements are all strong indicators. As the market improves, we’re anticipating a corresponding growth in bookings in 2024. In the current environment, our execution is improving, and Everbridge remains the market leader. In summary, the third quarter demonstrated another “step up” in profitability of $9 million or 56% year-over-year. We delivered stronger bookings quarter sequentially as a result of increasing deal size and improved sales productivity. We are confident that we are well-positioned to deliver year-over-year recurring bookings growth in 2024, which will contribute to increasing ARR growth rates later in 2024, and we are also confident that we can grow our adjusted EBITDA by a further 25% in 2024. In closing, I want to emphasize our steadfast commitment to assisting our customers in achieving resilience. We are living in uncertain times when organizations and governments are prioritizing the safety of their people and the continuity of their operations. Our Everbridge team is innovating to help organizations monitor risk more comprehensively than ever before and to combine that situational awareness with a market-leading platform for managing critical events to empower a more resilient world. I will now turn the call over to the operator to facilitate the question-and-answer period. Jason?
Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Alex Sklar from Raymond James. Please go ahead.
Alexander Sklar: Great. Thank you. Dave, just on your confidence on an improved bookings outlook, I realize there’s still some important weeks ahead this quarter, but historically Q4 is your largest bookings quarter in terms of kind of sequential ARR growth. Can you just talk about your level of confidence or visibility that’s going to continue again this year? And then just a little bit more color on your confidence at the end of the prepared remarks in terms of an improved bookings activity next year assuming no macro improvements? Thanks.
David Wagner: Yes, good question. As I pointed out, our pipeline has been improving, so productivity is improving. The average deal size is improving. Q4 is sequentially our strongest quarter, so those are the kinds of things that give us confidence. As we head into Q4 and think about year-over-year ARR improvement, we’re still cognizant that Q4 last year was a strong quarter, particularly a strong yes quarter for ARR growth. So we’re not expecting the same kind of strength we saw last year, but we are expecting a good quarter. As we look forward into 2024, that’s where the comparables and the sequential improvements, give us confidence and will continue those sequential improvements into 2024. We hit those tougher compares which again the way the ARR snowball works, of course it takes a couple of quarters till the AR growth rate is moving up rather than down. So that’s what we were alluding to in those remarks. And thank you for the follow up question.
Alexander Sklar: Great color there. And then I don’t know if Dave or Patrick, in terms of the comments on the higher renewal contraction, can you just elaborate on what’s driving that? Is that macro related? Is it competition? And did that continue through kind of October or was that kind of isolated in the third quarter? Thanks.
David Wagner: I’d say it was isolated. The third quarter had been really consistently run contractions within a band about a couple 100,000, within a band of a couple 100,000 up and down quarter-to-quarter. It wasn’t a huge increase, but there was an increase in the third quarter. We reviewed the — and we think it’s largely constrained to the third quarter. It was largely headcount related, but there were some customers contracted services. I think it’s also a bit indicative of the sort of the budget pressures we’ve seen in our clients throughout the year.
Alexander Sklar: All right. Great. Thank you for the color.
Operator: Our next question comes from Arjun Bhatia from William Blair. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Hi, this is Chris on for Arjun and thanks for taking my question. I want to circle back to sales productivity. It’s great to hear about some of the improvements there. What would you point to as kind of some of the key strategies that could most effective in delivering these improvements? Thanks.
David Wagner: Well, it’s a team effort when that happens. One of the key things that’s happened, we talked about last quarter with the sales tenure improving and so we continue to have great retention of our sales force and that’s one of the strongest statistic. Correlated evidence we have and so I think that is thing one the marketing team. Has really gotten in a much tighter group swing in the last you know couple of quarters. And so, we’re seeing a lot more efficiently generation that I think is also supporting those sales team members as they’ve on board. And then sales execution is a journey and we are we’re journeying through it, but just to give John a lot of credit in the second full quarter, getting the team rack aligned.
Operator: Our next question comes from Brian Colley from Stephens. Please go ahead.
Brian Colley: Hi guys. Thanks for taking my question here. On the updated guidance was the reduction in sales 100% from the one time revenue or was there any change in the subscription outlook there?
Patrick Brickley: Hey, Brian, this is Patrick. We, you know the midpoint, we basically brought it down by about $3 million and you could think of that as $2 million from non-subscription and $1 million from subscription. The story over the years really has been the non-subscription, but when you look at subscription we began the year roughly with guidance, I’ll call it around $411 million which is up 7% year-over-year. And then our ASPs continue to come down early in the year which was a headwind, but we were able to offset that. We have improved retention year-over-year and just now as you sort of pull all that together and we’re exiting the year, we’re looking at $410 million rather than $411 million, still 7% year-over-year, but it is down by $1 million.
Brian Colley: Okay. Perfect. That’s super helpful. And then, Dave, one for you. I’m curious kind of where you stand today in terms of completing some of the product integration work that you’ve talked about kind of needed to upsell or convert those 150-plus customers from RC9 and Anvil over to the CEM platform. And then any progress update that you’ve made converting some of your Mass Notification customers within the G2K over to CEM as well?
David Wagner: Those are both great questions. Thanks for asking. So on the RC9, the momentum is picking up, as you remember, from a year ago at this call, we talked about that cohort of customers and then by Q1, kind of goals think [ph] half. But we had good migrations this quarter. It was the highest migration fourth quarter of the year-to-date. The road map for them for the migration is finishing up. The product work to actually go-to-market with the end of life, which will drive the remaining customers with more force will be coming up around the end of the year. So that program continues to make good progress. We did slow down to focus on retention that has worked for us to date. So I’m pleased with where that’s going. The feature parity will be done in Q1, and we’re doing end of life before then. On the second cohort of the mass notification in the Global 2000, the upgrades, we had another good quarter, a nice mix of new customers. Those three new customer wins I talked about are really exciting wins, a U.S. federal government department. We’ve got a really nice opportunity there is a nice size deal on – top five. A really nice Australian bank that we think is an anchor account from that region, those were new accounts. On the upgrade side, it was also — just real balance on the upgrade side. So I think we had a few more CEM customers the last quarter, CEM customer as we think down a little bit year-over-year if we continue to see a real good mix of both new customer add-ons and migrations for CEM.
Brian Colley: Got it. Thank you.
Operator: The next question comes from Scott Berg from Needham. Please go ahead.
Scott Berg: Hi everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess a couple purpose state on the bookings in the quarter, you seem pretty positive on obviously, the improvements that you’re seeing there. company did though only had $4 million of ARR, which is not the highest of the year so far, at least to date, is how do we kind of reconcile those two commentaries? My guess is probably from some of the downsell pressure that you talked about, but I didn’t know if there’s anything else that’s kind of comprising of making up that gap.
David Wagner: That’s exactly it. It’s those two offsets and that the primary drivers there.
Scott Berg: Okay. And then Patrick, for a follow-up, the $1 million of revenue, annual subscription revenue recognized in Q3, but not Q4. I guess I’m a little confused by that is I’m not sure why it’s not being recognized this quarter, maybe that’s the downsell that you all talked about. But just trying to help understand what that is, that won’t be recognized in Q3. And then does it actually convert in Q4? And then does it come back in Q1 for some reason?
Patrick Brickley: Yes. So what that $1 million is ASC 606 has taken something that a service that we provide ratably, but requires us to recognize annually, and it’s related to subscription, but we only recognize it primarily onetime a year. In 2022, we recognized it in Q4, that was part of the year-over-year, I was talking about the Q4. And in 2023, we recognized it in Q3. So it’s – so the timing is different year-over-year. There were a couple of other items like that in Q4 of last year that have already been recognized earlier this year in 2023. So it’s subscription ASC 606 just treats a couple of million dollars of our subscription revenue a little uniquely. And its ongoing, yes, just to be clear, ongoing customer, et cetera. It will come back around next year in 2024.
David Wagner: And probably in Q3 in 2024.
Patrick Brickley: Probably in Q3 in 2024. Yes.
Scott Berg: Got it. Very helpful. Thank you.
Operator: The next question comes from Michael Berg from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
Michael Berg: Hi, thanks for taking my question. I want to kind of take a different angle on this. Your adjusted EBITDA guidance went down by about $1 million. And when I think about perpetual deal to come off, I think of those as very high margin. So maybe you can help just give me some puts and takes on what is driving the lower EBITDA guidance? Is it some strengths in the quarter offset by the lower perpetual primarily? Or help level set there? Thank you.
Patrick Brickley: Yes. Look, in the back half of 2023, we’ve removed $10 million plus of non-subscription revenue much of which is very high margin, and particularly those perpetual licenses, that’s created a lot of pressure on our adjusted EBITDA. But we’re making our way through it. It’s – the offset is a continued focus on efficiency and productivity. If you look at a couple of areas like sales and marketing, we’ve brought that down year-over-year as a percent of revenue from 36% to 29% and yet at the same time, we just delivered our best bookings quarter of the year. And as you heard Dave talk about productivity is up, deal sizes are coming up and a couple of other key metrics that are part of that are improving. Look at R&D as a percent of revenue, that’s come down from 19% to 17%. But at the same time, we’ve improved our productivity. We just delivered Everbridge 360, which is critical to customer adoption renewal expansion. So we are improving our productivity while improving our profitability and that has helped to absorb the impact of the reduction in the outlook for non-discretion [ph].
David Wagner: If I’m going to just add, it’s a minor point, in addition to that, that Anvil accrual there’s OpEx for that case. And so we’re further absorbing the OpEx for that. So when I think about the work that the team did. I’m really proud of what the team has been doing in expense management that Patrick talked about. But in my way of thinking is that last $1 million quarter or just on this quarter, maybe we plan about that amount for next quarter that additional $1.5 million, $2 million of OpEx related to the Anvil matters. Anvil just bringing the guidance down, we are still targeting that 85%. We’re doing everything we can as a management team. Yes. So that’s what we’ve been managing and I think we’re doing a good job of it.
Michael Berg: Got it. So maybe one quick follow-up to that is you just gave the $1 million or $2 million OpEx with the Anvil it sounds like that’s part of the non-GAAP or adjusted EBITDA on a normal basis. Could you help us quantify how we could think about the perpetual deals that you took off, how that could flow through the EBITDA. Reason I ask because I think it would be helpful for the investor community to understand what a more normal EBITDA profile would look like today should things have come across as you had originally expected?
Patrick Brickley: Yes. Well, I think we mentioned that we’re – as we look forward to 2024, we’re anticipating that we can increase our adjusted EBITDA by 25% with our existing exiting cost structure and continuing to make gradual optimizations to it. So whereas in Q4, we’ve got adjusted EBITDA related expenses of around $89 million, that’s what we would anticipate continuing to run into next year with. There will be seasonality, there will be payroll tax, in fact seasonality, et cetera. But and then over 90% of our revenue is subscription and the gross margin on that is very high. So yes, the margin on the onetime licenses, software licenses and other is really high. The last year, that was $18 million this year that’s going to be around $12.5 million to $13 million with really high margin. And – but we originally thought there’d be a lot more than $12.5 million to $13 million. And most of the reduction that we’re talking about came out of the back half of the year. So we’ve had – unfortunately, we’ve been able to manage through it.
David Wagner: And Mike, for the first time we put into our guidance, that split between subscription professional services and software, so you have that for the fourth quarter guide. Patrick you are on the call as well. But it’s in the table, the press release so you can get that break out, not just our historical core of the quarter forecasted. And then just on my inter-correction on the Anvil, the $8 million is an accrual for potential damages in addition to that versus the operating expenses to take that thing to trial that are coming in through the P&L in that they’re not adjusted out there in the EBITDA expenses just underlying for Q3 and probably just over in – for Q4.
Michael Berg: Got it. Helpful. Thank you.
Operator: The next question comes from William Power from Baird. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Hi. This is [indiscernible] on for Will Power. Thanks for taking the question. So just looking at nonsubscription revenue, how do you think that might shake out next year? Should we expect nonsubscription revenue to decline in 2024? Or is there any early framework for how to think about that piece? Thanks.
David Wagner: We’re not in a position to do the guide on those revenues. As Patrick went through the narration of the script and you’ve seen the guide in the past a couple of quarters and maybe you look again at the investor deck, we gave a quarterly trend of those numbers over a period of time. But we went through a season in the last two years, 2021, 2022 with record public warning deals. This year, we’re going through a year where there has not been a public awarding deal awarded globally to date this year. So this, in some ways, this year feels low, but it also contextually, everything we’re doing is around growing the recurring revenue. We’re working with those products and those customers to make them more subscription. So our intention over time is to drive their subscription revenues on. One thing I think we’ve demonstrated this year is we’re going to be able to manage expenses around those onetime. I don’t want to run table will be holding on getting a onetime deal for our business model. So we’re building the business model laser-focused on ARR and subscription revenue growth. And in that way, I’m not expecting a tailwind from nonsubscription the way we’re trying to do that to run the business.
Unidentified Analyst: Fair enough. Thanks. I’ll pass it back.
Operator: The next question comes from Terry Tillman from Truist. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Hi, good afternoon team. This is Connor Passarella [ph] on for Terry. Appreciate you taking the questions. Just curious on what changes you’ve made in the customer success organization to better serve your existing customer base? And enable that cross-sell, upsell opportunity. And then I guess also, what kind of conversations they’re having with the existing base around the value of organizational resilience.
David Wagner: Yes. So that’s a great question. Customer success is an area we’re focused on some really great account managers and renewal specialists. Now that work with our clients that is an area that John is spending a lot of attention on. We’re expecting to make some changes that the further dry alignment to those two teams and support the customers even better. On the customer journey, we’re getting really good feedback. The Everbridge 360 doesn’t deliver on the ease of use and the integration. [indiscernible] like the geopolitical unrest and our ability to deliver messages in a really troubled hard environment on delivering messages into our clients’ employees and services to get them to state locations. We’re deeply engaged with our clients right now. And I’m just – I’m pleased with the team and how we’re able to service them in their time and need.
Unidentified Analyst: Great. That’s helpful. Thank you.
Operator: Next question comes from Ryan MacWilliams from Barclays. Please go ahead.
Ryan MacWilliams: Hey guys, thanks for the question. I know it’s early, but any early comments on next year and how should we think about your priorities for your focus on a return to growth or continue the cash flow improvement? What is your color there? Thanks.
David Wagner: Yes. Ryan, that’s a good follow-up question of a little more detail and the most pointed thing that Patrick and I mentioned was we’re early but looking ahead with a focus on growing EBITDA at 25% year-over-year. So we think we can continue to deliver operating improvements as we continue to grow. When you look at the ARR growth, it has come down quarter-over-quarter. We had some real strong quarters. At this time last year, we had a really much bigger team this time last year, and that’s why I think the improvements in sales productivity, pipeline build, deal sizes are so important as we look forward into next year, where we expect to be delivering year-over-year improvement beginning in Q1 on our recurring bookings for full performance, which with our strong renewal rates will start to drive ARR growth rates later next year because we’re still lapping some stronger compares with a lot more salespeople through this quarter.
Ryan MacWilliams: Okay. And then Patrick, glad to see the convertible debt retirement. Definitely come along over the past few quarters. The slides were helpful there. I guess just for investors, how should we think about the path ahead for average capital structure, what you plan to accomplish over the next few years? Thanks.
Patrick Brickley: Sure. As we mentioned, we’ve got enough cash to get through the debt that matures in December 2024. We have another $300 million or so that will mature in March 2026. Between now and then, we will continue to generate more and more cash flow to be able to pay that down. And as we mentioned at our Investor Day in 2022 – December 2022, we anticipate that if we’re not able to satisfy that obligation in March 2026 entirely out of our own pockets, that by then, we will be driving enough profitability that we could – we’ll have a number of options, including just straight bank debt that we’re exiting this year with adjusted EBITDA to leverage of roughly three to one. We’re going to get that down to two to one. And by then, maybe – around one to one. So we don’t know what debt markets will look like in late 2025 or late 2026, but we’re confident that we’re – you’re going to be able to have a lot of different options that are not dilutive to be able to satisfy that remaining obligation.
Ryan MacWilliams: Appreciate the color. Thanks guys.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] And the next question comes from Koji Ikeda from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Koji Ikeda: Hey guys. Thanks for taking the questions. I had a question on renewals and specifically on the contraction in the downsells. And I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about what’s driving that? Is it seats? Is it pricing? Is it a certain type of product? Any sort of color there to help understand the contraction would be great. Thank you.
David Wagner: Yes. It’s primarily seats. Of course, we’re dealing with over 6,000 customers and lots and lots of renewals. So the aggregate is a summary of the downticks accounted for the quarter-over-quarter decline in retention, but retention remains where it was this quarter last year. So it’s in a good spot, not a better spot that we want to in the contractions in the quarter, headcount reductions are certainly part of it. It’s anecdotal, but if there’s a concentration there was a lot — there was some consolidation, which customers being purchased and a little bit maybe more in our digital operations than our core CEM business. But just generally it added up to the eight to 10 basis points increase churn in the quarter.
Koji Ikeda: Got it. Okay. That’s helpful and then just one follow-up here. When I look at the deck and it’s a slide – what is slide is this. It looks like 2026, the reconciliation of the guidance, kind of the previous cash is the guide that is today. I noticed that there’s a reduction in the license and PS due to delays in large on-prem deals. It was $8 million and then an additional $2 million added on to the updated guidance. The question here is what gives you the confidence that these deals, these push deals will eventually close? Thanks guys.
David Wagner: Well, the ones that are at the bottom of the pipeline, I can tell you that we’ve got confidence we can – we know that the national programs where they’re working, and they — they take time to close and it’s hard to control all the governments closing time line, but we know that they’re nationally approved projects. So that’s what gives us confidence. In terms of larger top of all pipeline where the direction goes next year and the year after that’s what we’re putting out position yet to be guiding on the onetime for next year at this time.
Koji Ikeda: Thanks for taking the question guys.
David Wagner: Thank you.
Operator: The next question comes from Kash Rangan from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Analyst: Hey guys this is Jacob [Ph] on for Kash. Thanks so much for taking the question. A lot of good questions ahead of me, so just a couple of simple ones from me. The 32 sequential adds for the CEM customers. Can you provide a split on how many of those were net new customers and how many of those were existing customers that adopted CEM? And then additionally, I noticed that stock-based comp was down 700 bps, I think. Yes, it was 8% of total revenue versus 15% last quarter and 12% in Q1. So how should we think about that on a go-forward basis? Thanks so much.
David Wagner: I don’t have a split on the CEM, but I gave in the top five. We had three new CEMs and two upsells in the top five. I think it is roughly 50-50, we can follow up with you on that nonmarket follow-up review. On stock-based comps, you’re seeing — beginning to see a real intentional focus on the management team and the comp committee. Yes, just to focus in on stock-based comp, and then the number shared with others is pretty clear way our Evergreen program works, it’s 3% a year. And so we’ve got real specific budgets that we’re working towards that 3% to 4% net in gross equity burn for the next three years. So 2023 becomes kind of in my way of thinking kind of new normal for Everbridge going forward from a dilution perspective. And 2022 was high for several, I think, good reasons. But as that moves through, we’ll be moving down to the closer to the 4% range.
Operator: [Technical Difficulty] to Mr. Wagner for his closing remarks.
David Wagner: Well, thank you everybody, for participating. I just want lots of good questions on the onetime and those are important. We remain focused on profitable growth and driving the recurring revenue and recurring part of our business forward. Over the next few weeks, we’re going to be on the road with investors at several conferences, including the Needham Virtual Tech Conference on November 16, the UBS Global Tech Conference on November 28, the Wells Fargo TMT Summit on November 29, the Raymond James, TMT and Consumer Conference on December 4 and the Barclays Tech Conference on December 7. We look forward to speaking with many of you at those events and we’ll speak with the rest of you again soon. Thank you for your supporting our mission and confidence in our ability to achieve it. Jason?
Operator: Thank you for joining us today for the Everbridge Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. You may now disconnect.
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