TD Cowen sees Amazon topping FQ2 earnings expectations

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Accelerating e-commerce revenue and ad revenue growth should fuel Amazon’s outperformance, they argue. These positives should also offset AWS revenue deceleration as a result of the continued optimizations.

“We continue to like AMZN shares as we expect Op Income (GAAP) margins to rise to 4.2% in ’23 vs. 2.4% in ’22 as we view AMZN as being more focused on cost containment and driving efficiencies across segments, while capital intensity moderates following AMZN’s historic fulfillment investment cycle over the past few years,” the analysts wrote in a client note.

AWS revenue is seen decelerating further to +9.5% year-over-year vs. +15.8% year-over-year in Q1.

Amazon shares are up about 55% year-to-date. The stock is up a further 1.2% in premarket.