S&P 500 Index: Technicals Point Toward New YTD Lows – BofA

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Stephen Suttmeier, a Technical Research Strategist at Bank of America, has reflected on the S&P 500 and U.S. equities in general as selling intensifies.

In a note sent to BofA clients last week, Suttmeier warned about the test of the key support in the NYSE Composite Index (NYA). Later last week, the buyers failed to defend the 14000 support zone, paving the way for an acceleration in selling activity.

For Suttmeier, the support break is “a potential bearish leading indicator for lower YTD lows and a continued 2022 bear market for the S&P 500 into October.” The strategist also reminded clients that seasonality remains challenging for U.S. equities from late September well into October.

“The SPX followed through on its extremely negative late September seasonality and the bearish break below 3900 to nearly test the June low at 3636. While below Friday’s (9/23) downside gap at 3727-3750, the immediate risk is lower,” Suttmeier warns.

A new YTD low would likely pave the way for the test of the 200-WMA at 3590, while a deeper support level is located at 3500, the strategist added.

“The break below the uptrend line from early June projects into the low 3400s on the S&P 500,” Suttmeier concluded.