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(Reuters) – The food-delivery business that kept Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER)’ earnings afloat during the peak of the pandemic is expected to show signs of strain in second-quarter results due on Tuesday as decades-high inflation crimps consumer spending.
The slowdown could dampen any boost from a rebound in Uber’s mainstay ride-hailing business that has been benefiting from the reopening of offices and a surge in travel globally.
“Investors have written off food delivery as the next shoe to drop as consumers tighten up their wallets,” Bernstein analyst Nikhil Devnani said, pointing to the dismal performance of Britain’s Deliveroo.
GRAPHIC: Uber and Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT)’s prices rise through the pandemic (https://graphics.reuters.com/UBER-RESULTS/movanaxdkpa/chart.png)
THE CONTEXT
Deliveroo had cuts its annual revenue forecast last month amid a worsening cost of living crisis, prompting questions over the growth prospects of delivery firms.
While ride-sharing has staged a recovery this year, that could come under pressure from a possible driver shortage sparked by the surge in gasoline prices, MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni said.
Uber said last quarter it was not seeing the need to boost incentives to lure drivers, while rival Lyft was forced to invest more to ensure a steady supply of cab rides.
Lyft will report earnings on Thursday.
GRAPHIC:Uber and Lyft look to maintain adjusted EBITDA (https://graphics.reuters.com/UBER-RESULTS/byvrjwzebve/chart.png)
FUNDAMENTALS
* Analysts expect Uber to post second-quarter revenue of $7.39 billion, up 88.2% from a year earlier – Refinitiv data
* Lyft’s revenue is expected to rise 29.1% to $987.9 million
* EBITDA, a keenly watched metric, is expected to come in at $258 million for Uber and $18.7 million for Lyft
WALL STREET SENTIMENT
* So far in 2022, Uber has declined 44% and Lyft has shed 68%, more than the 13.2% fall in the benchmark S&P 500 index.
UBER’s QUARTER REFINITIV IBES ACTUAL BEAT, SURPRISE %
ENDED ESTIMATE MET,
MISSED
Mar. 31 2022 -0.24 -0.18 Beat 25
Dec. 31 2022 -0.35 -0.26 Beat 25.9
Sep. 30 2021 -0.30 -0.22 Beat 25.8
Jun. 30 2021 -0.51 -0.19 Beat 62.7
Mar. 31 2021 -0.54 0.26 Beat 147.8
Dec. 31 2020 -0.55 -0.54 Beat 2.7
Sep. 30 2020 -0.65 -0.62 Beat 4.5
Jun. 30 2020 -0.86 -0.80 Beat 7.4
LYFT’s QUARTER REFINITIV ACTUAL BEAT, SURPRISE %
ENDED IBES MET,
ESTIMATE MISSED
Mar. 31 2022 -0.07 0.07 Beat 203.3
Dec. 31 2022 0.08 0.09 Beat 9
Sep. 30 2021 -0.03 0.05 Beat 272.1
Jun. 30 2021 -0.24 -0.05 Beat 79.2
Mar. 31 2021 -0.55 -0.35 Beat 36.2
Dec. 31 2020 -0.72 -0.58 Beat 18.9
Sep. 30 2020 -0.91 -0.89 Beat 2.7
Jun. 30 2020 -1.00 -0.86 Beat 14.4
