GE Aerospace sees $10 billion in operating profit in 2028 on strong demand

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NEW YORK (Reuters) -General Electric’s aerospace business on Thursday forecast its operating profit to rise to about $10 billion in 2028 on robust demand for its products and services, and said it was targeting an initial dividend payout at 30% of net income.

GE Aerospace also reaffirmed its 2024 targets, and authorized up to $15 billion in share repurchases as part of its plans to return 70% to 75% cash to shareholders.

“We really are at a point in time where demand isn’t our challenge,” GE CEO Larry Culp said at the unit’s investor conference. “And we think we’ve got quite a runway in front of us.”

GE’s shares were up about 3% at $163.87 in morning trade.

GE Aerospace, which makes engines for Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Airbus jets, has seen a surge in demand for aftermarket services as a strong rebound in travel and a shortage of new jets prompt airlines to keep their planes in the air for longer.

More than 70% of the $24 billion annual revenue that the unit’s commercial engines business generates comes from services.

The company said its customers want more engines and aircraft to be able to meet their continued growth and demand projections. However, meeting the demand remains a challenge as the supply chain is not able to ramp up at the speed the company wants.

“If we’ve got backlog into the 2030s, you know we’ve got a lot to do,” Culp said. “And it’s a day-to-day challenge.”

GE Aerospace said growth in deliveries of LEAP engines to be 20%-25% in 2024 from a year ago, with the pace expected to accelerate in 2025 and 2026.

Once a diversified industrial conglomerate, GE said in 2021 it would break up into three companies focused on aviation, healthcare and energy. GE separated its healthcare business last year and its energy and aerospace businesses would be spun off into independent companies on April 2.

GE Aerospace has been a cash cow for the Boston-based company, with some analysts estimating its market value to be more than $100 billion after the spin off.

On Thursday, the unit reaffirmed its 2024 forecast of $6.0 billion to $6.5 billion in adjusted operating profit, more than $5 billion in free cash flow and a low-double digit or higher growth rate in adjusted revenue.

In 2025, operating profit is expected to rise to $7.1 billion to $7.5 billion, while adjusted revenue is set to grow in low-double digits.

Culp said GE Aerospace will focus on M&A deals that complement and accelerate its business.