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CEO Jamie Dimon had previously warned about potential economic threats from geopolitical issues and quantitative tightening at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference. Despite these challenges, JPMorgan’s stock value has risen by 9% this year, with an anticipated 20.4% rise in Q3 profits from $9.7 billion in the same quarter last year, largely due to a projected 27% increase in net interest income.
The bank’s results provide insight into how the banking industry is managing surging interest rates and growing loan losses. JPMorgan, like other banks, has allocated more funds for potential loan losses following the Federal Reserve’s strategy to combat inflation with high interest rates amid unexpectedly strong economic growth. This strategy led to a significant increase in the 10-year Treasury yield in Q3, contributing to a notable decline in bank stocks as evidenced by the 19% downturn in the KBW Bank Index.
The FDIC reported $558 billion in paper losses due to asset devaluation, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note recently hit its highest level since 2007. Major banks including Citigroup (NYSE:NYSE:C), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) are expected to discuss these issues in their upcoming earnings calls.
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