S&P 500 could end the year over 10% higher from here – Piper Sandler

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Following the decision not to raise interest rates at this week’s meeting, the U.S. stock market fell, while Treasury 10-year yields increased. The recent labor market data also supported the belief that the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period than initially expected.

Analysts expect the stock will trade in a “drop/chop” in the following weeks before the S&P 500 delivers a rally into year-end. They see the S&P 500 rallying all the way to 4,825.

“The weak September narrative continues playing out as expected, but long and intermediate-term uptrends remain intact. This is evidenced by 27% of SPX constituents above their 50-day MA, while 48% are above their 200-day MA,” analysts wrote in a report to clients.

“The SPX is back where it was four weeks ago along the 4,400 level, backing and filling within 6% of its YTD high (4,607) and support at the August ‘22 high (4,325).”

S&P 500 fell 1.6% yesterday, ending the day at 4,333. Based on analysts’ projections, the S&P 500 could gain over 11% before the end of the year.