Market Snapshot: U.S. stocks trade mostly higher, S&P 500 aims to extend 6-day winning streak

This post was originally published on this site

U.S. stocks were trading mostly higher Friday afternoon, after struggling for direction earlier in the session, following a rally brought about by signs that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes have helped to cool inflation.

How stock indexes are trading

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.21%

    was up 47 points, or 0.1%, at 34,455.

  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.19%

    rose 9 points, or 0.2%, to 4,435.

  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.08%

    slipped almost 5 points, or less than 0.1%, to 13,778.

For the week, the Dow was on track to rise 1.7%, the S&P 500 was heading for a 3.2% gain and the Nasdaq Composite was on pace to advance 3.9%, according to FactSet data, at last check.

What’s driving the market

U.S. stocks were trading mostly higher Friday afternoon, remaining on track for weekly gains in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s decision to refrain from raising interest rates again on Wednesday.

“There’s a lot of cash on the sidelines” as investors have been earning around 4% to 5% interest rates from Treasury-bills or certificates of deposits while worrying about a recession, said Saira Malik, chief investment officer at Nuveen, in a phone interview Friday. “I’ll call 2023 the most talked about recession that never happened,” she said, and now “there’s a bit of FOMO going on.”

The S&P 500 index has climbed around 3% this week, bringing its gains so far this year to more than 15%, according to FactSet data, at last check. The index has finished higher in each of the past six days through Thursday, marking its longest winning streak since November 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

Stocks continued climbing after the Fed the announced on Wednesday that it paused its interest-rate hikes, but the central bank’s summary of economic projections showed that two more rate increases may follow this year as it continues its effort to bring high inflation down to its 2% target.

On Friday investors were weighing remarks by a pair of Fed officials.

Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said Friday that inflation is still too high and he needs to be convinced it’s slowing more quickly before he would back an end to rate increases. Fed Gov. Christopher Waller said on the same day that the fallout from several bank failures in the spring is likely to continue to play a role in the central bank’s decision on how much to raise rates.

“US stocks are ready for a long weekend as traders are exhausted from a week filled with high impact events that didn’t derail momentum in equities,” Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, wrote in a note.

“Despite all this talk of a couple more rate hikes, the S&P 500 is having one of its best weeks since March. This stock market rally seems a bit overextended but too much money remains on the sidelines, which means if the AI trade remains intact, this winning streak for mega-cap tech stocks can last a while longer,” he said.

Global strategists at Citi say the 15% gain for the S&P 500 being led by big megacap tech companies isn’t a reason to be pessimistic. “Ultimately, bad breadth alone is not a reason to sell the market. In fact, stocks are usually higher 12 months after leadership narrows,” the strategists said.

In U.S. economic data Friday, consumer sentiment rose in June to a four-month high of 63.9 as inflation eased and the U.S. debt-ceiling fight ended, according to an index produced by the University of Michigan. The consumer-sentiment index is up from 59.2 in May.

Meanwhile, consumers’ inflation expectations came down, the University of Michigan survey found. Americans think inflation will average 3.3% in the next year, down from 4.2% in the May survey. Looking out over the next five years, consumers believe inflation will average about 3% annually.

“Today’s data probably won’t impact the chances of a July hike. The levels of inflation expectations are too high, but the pace of change is encouraging,” said Thomas Simons, money-market economist at Jefferies, in a note.

Read: Big stock market rally to be followed by ‘big collapse,’ says BofA’s Hartnett

Companies in focus