S&P 500 Slips as Jobs Miss Unlikely to Deter Fed From Aggressive Tightening

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Investing.com – The S&P 500 started the second quarter on back foot Friday, as a softer March jobs report didn’t deter investor bets on the Federal Reserve stepping up the pace of monetary policy tightening at upcoming meetings that many fear could spark a recession.

The S&P 500 fell 0.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.04%, or 14 points, the Nasdaq fell 0.73%.

Nonfarm payrolls increased 431,000 in February, below consensus expectations for 490,000 new jobs, while the unemployment rate fell by more than expected to 3.6%.

The job gains for February were revised higher to 750,000 from 678,000, erasing concerns about the weakness seen in the prior month, and pointing to a labor market that is “showing strong momentum heading into Q2,” Jefferies said in a note.

The unemployment rate fell by more than expected to 3.7%, while wage growth, which is expected to pick-up pace amid a tight labor market, was in-line with forecasts at 0.4%.

“With a solid jobs report and the Fed’s preferred inflation metric pushing to 6.4% as of March, there is little reason why the market should not expect a 50bps hike at the next May FOMC meeting,” Stifel said in a note.

As the bets of aggressive Fed action continues to be priced into markets, fears are growing that the Fed may slow growth by too much and tip the economy into recession.

The yield curve inverted again to deliver yet another warning sign that a recession could be on the horizon.  The yield on the 2-year Treasury bond (2.428%) jumped above the yield on the 10-year Treasury note (2.360%).

Bank stocks struggled to cut losses as an inverting yield curve depresses their margins on lending, and limits growth.

SVB Financial (NASDAQ:SIVB), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Regions Financial (NYSE:RF) were the biggest decliners in the sector.   

Tech was once again in the crosshairs as semiconductor stocks struggle to catch a break on Wall Street. Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) fell more than 7% after JPMorgan ditched the chipmaker from its Analyst Focus list.

In other news, GameStop (NYSE:GME) erased gains to trade 2% lower after the video game retailer said it would seek shareholder backing at its next shareholder meeting to split its stock.

The sluggish start to the month for stocks followed a two-week rally that moved the broader market  into “moderately overbought territory on a short-term basis,” Janney Montgomery Scott said.  But the climb higher is likely to resume.

“[T]his current equity weakness is a brief pause before extending the rally that began around March 16th,” it added.