Deep Dive: These S&P 500 stocks have cratered, but analysts think 12 can turn it around with rebounds of up to 70%

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A period of high inflation and rising interest rates has taken out shares of companies with rich valuations. Then there’s the stubborn coronavirus, with variants raising infection rates and causing stocks in travel-related industries to crash after they staged partial recoveries.

Uncertainty is in the air, and a 7% consumer inflation rate doesn’t help. A prolonged period of rising interest rates will make the bond market more attractive to investors who had fled to the stock market in search of yields during the pandemic.

In the S&P 500 Index
SPX,
85 stocks were down at least 20% from their 52-week highs through Jan. 12. A 20% decline is generally considered bear-market territory. Still, the benchmark index actually rose slightly Jan. 12, when the government reported eye-popping inflation figures, and closed at a level only 2% below its all-time intraday high set Jan. 4.

Worst S&P 500 performers from 52-week highs

Narrowing the list of decliners, here are the 25 S&P 500 stocks that have fallen at least 30% from their 52-week intraday highs:

Company

Ticker

Decline from 52-week high

Closing price – Jan. 12

52-week high

Date of 52-week high

Penn National Gaming Inc.

PENN -66.6%

$47.44

$142.00

03/15/2021

ViacomCBS Inc. Class B

VIAC -65.7%

$34.97

$101.97

03/15/2021

Discovery Inc. Class A

DISCA -63.2%

$28.79

$78.14

03/19/2021

Moderna Inc.

MRNA -55.2%

$222.89

$497.49

08/10/2021

Gap Inc.

GPS -52.8%

$17.75

$37.63

05/18/2021

Biogen Inc.

BIIB -51.9%

$225.34

$468.55

06/07/2021

Twitter Inc.

TWTR -50.2%

$40.25

$80.75

02/25/2021

Enphase Energy Inc.

ENPH -47.2%

$149.28

$282.46

11/22/2021

Etsy Inc.

ETSY -42.1%

$178.06

$307.75

11/26/2021

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

LVS -41.7%

$38.95

$66.77

03/03/2021

Wynn Resorts Ltd.

WYNN -40.4%

$85.80

$143.88

03/15/2021

PayPal Holdings Inc.

PYPL -39.6%

$187.20

$310.16

07/26/2021

Generac Holdings Inc.

GNRC -39.2%

$319.00

$524.31

11/02/2021

Activision Blizzard Inc.

ATVI -38.0%

$64.81

$104.53

02/16/2021

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

MKTX -37.0%

$371.37

$589.25

02/02/2021

IPG Photonics Corporation

IPGP -36.9%

$165.74

$262.55

01/19/2021

Paycom Software Inc.

PAYC -35.9%

$358.07

$558.97

11/02/2021

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH -35.6%

$22.22

$34.49

03/04/2021

Citrix Systems Inc.

CTXS -33.3%

$96.82

$145.19

01/27/2021

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

SEDG -33.0%

$261.02

$389.71

11/22/2021

Global Payments Inc.

GPN -32.6%

$148.73

$220.81

04/26/2021

Match Group Inc.

MTCH -31.8%

$124.08

$182.00

10/21/2021

Ceridian HCM Holding Inc.

CDAY -31.0%

$89.97

$130.37

11/03/2021

Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc.

ZBH -30.4%

$125.58

$180.36

04/29/2021

Southwest Airlines Co.

LUV -30.2%

$45.21

$64.75

04/14/2021

Source: FactSet

Click on the tickers for more about each company.

Then read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

Stocks expected to bounce back

Among the 25 decliners listed above, 12 have majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among analysts polled by FactSet. So here’s the entire list again, but sorted this time by the percentage of favorable ratings and showing how much upside potential the analysts see over the next year, based on consensus price targets:

Company

Ticker

Share “buy” ratings

Closing price – Jan. 12

Consensus price target

Implied 12-month upside potential

Global Payments Inc.

GPN 85%

$148.73

$185.48

25%

Generac Holdings Inc.

GNRC 83%

$319.00

$511.32

60%

PayPal Holdings Inc.

PYPL 82%

$187.20

$265.12

42%

Match Group Inc.

MTCH 70%

$124.08

$172.89

39%

Activision Blizzard Inc.

ATVI 70%

$64.81

$90.40

39%

Southwest Airlines Co.

LUV 70%

$45.21

$56.06

24%

Paycom Software Inc.

PAYC 65%

$358.07

$530.33

48%

Enphase Energy Inc.

ENPH 63%

$149.28

$254.08

70%

Etsy Inc.

ETSY 62%

$178.06

$256.41

44%

Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc.

ZBH 59%

$125.58

$160.38

28%

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

SEDG 56%

$261.02

$347.73

33%

Penn National Gaming Inc.

PENN 55%

$47.44

$76.67

62%

Biogen Inc.

BIIB 50%

$225.34

$297.39

32%

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

LVS 50%

$38.95

$49.17

26%

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH 50%

$22.22

$30.77

38%

Ceridian HCM Holding Inc.

CDAY 50%

$89.97

$119.83

33%

ViacomCBS Inc. Class B

VIAC 43%

$34.97

$46.65

33%

Moderna Inc.

MRNA 42%

$222.89

$296.00

33%

Discovery Inc. Class A

DISCA 40%

$28.79

$39.56

37%

IPG Photonics Corporation

IPGP 36%

$165.74

$199.22

20%

Wynn Resorts Ltd.

WYNN 31%

$85.80

$103.19

20%

Twitter Inc.

TWTR 28%

$40.25

$62.79

56%

Citrix Systems Inc.

CTXS 20%

$96.82

$99.08

2%

Gap Inc.

GPS 18%

$17.75

$22.33

26%

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

MKTX 17%

$371.37

$413.00

11%

Source: FactSet

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