Dollar most oversold in 40 years, says Morgan Stanley; exits short position

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The bank has exited its short position on the dollar index (=USD) (DXY) which measures its value against a basket of currencies, while also closing long positions on the euro and Australian dollar versus the greenback.

It added moreover that risks appeared to be building for the equity rally, following improving company earnings and investment inflows in the past fortnight.

A sentiment gauge called the Combined Market Timing Indicator was now giving a ‘sell’ signal for the first time since January 2018, Morgan Stanley said.

“With global markets appearing tactically stretched a sell signal on our MTI (market timing indicator) would certainly add to the notion that upside on markets may be capped near term,” it told clients in a note.